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// autonomous trading intelligence

OpenClaw Brain

Self-evolving neural trading system. 7 signal engines fuse market data, whale flow, and price momentum into autonomous decisions — calibrating after every trade. Strategies distilled from Simons, Thorp, Dalio, and Livermore.

Brain Active -- snapshots -- trades learned -- whale scans
Neural Architecture
Strategy Profiles

Pre-built risk profiles generated during the Student stage. Each profile defines stop-loss, take-profit, trailing stops, and hold zones for binary 5-minute markets.

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ProfileSLEmergencyCatastrophicTP TriggerTrailHold ZonePre-CloseMax LossMin WRRisk
7 Autonomous Trading Signals

Each signal independently analyzes a dimension of market data. The Cortex fuses them, weights by historical performance, and calibrates confidence before every trade.

Crowd Fade
Contrarian play when crowd confidence exceeds 62%. Fades retail overshoot in 5-min windows.
Active
Momentum
Rides BTC price divergence >0.03% from Price-to-Beat. Time-weighted conviction.
Active
Whale Follow
Follows top 10 holders when capital concentrates >60% on one side.
Active
Odds Shift
Detects rapid odds movement >5pts across snapshots. Rides new information early.
Active
Odds Bias
Fallback signal using raw market odds deviation from 50/50 when BTC data unavailable.
Active
Mean Reversion
Fades overreaction after extreme moves >0.1% BTC divergence + odds >75%.
Active
Volume Spike
Detects unusual volume bursts with buying pressure >65% in the last 2 minutes.
Active

Self-Learning System

Every trade rewrites the brain. Strategy weights shift based on P/L, confidence calibration corrects overconfidence, and hourly performance gates adapt to market rhythm. Five evolution stages from Student to Grandmaster — each unlocking larger positions and tighter Kelly fractions.

I
Student
0-100 trades · $1 max
II
Apprentice
100-500 · $2 max · 52% WR
III
Journeyman
500-2K · $5 max · 54% WR
IV
Master
2K-10K · $20 max · 55% WR
V
Grandmaster
10K+ · $100 max · Half Kelly
Real-Time Intelligence

Data collected every 30 seconds from Polymarket CLOB and Data APIs.

Odds Pulse (UP token)
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Live
Whale Radar
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top holders this market
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Live
Trade Flow
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--% buy --% sell
Live
Public Endpoints

Access rPoly intelligence data via REST API. All endpoints return JSON.

GET /api/learn/status Collector status and stats
curl https://rpoly.vercel.app/api/learn/status
{ "running": true, "stats": { "odds": 142, "globalTrades": 3847, "whales": 28, "lastMarket": "btc-updown-5m-1771287300" }, "timestamp": 1771287205054 }
GET /api/learn/odds-history Historical odds snapshots
curl "https://rpoly.vercel.app/api/learn/odds-history?minutes=60"
{ "count": 120, "data": [ { "t": 1771287075014, "market": "btc-updown-5m-1771287300", "upPrice": 0.505, "downPrice": 0.495, "midpoint": 0.505, "volume": 78.71 } ] }
Params: minutes (default 60), market (slug filter)
GET /api/learn/whales Top holders for current market
curl https://rpoly.vercel.app/api/learn/whales
{ "latest": { "market": "btc-updown-5m-...", "holders": [ { "name": "Long-Security", "amount": 100, "outcome": "UP" }, { "name": "Dental-Constraint", "amount": 92.3, "outcome": "UP" } ] }, "totalScans": 14 }
GET /api/learn/global-trades Recent trades and buy/sell stats
curl https://rpoly.vercel.app/api/learn/global-trades
{ "trades": [ ... ], "stats": { "total": 847, "buys": 612, "sells": 235, "avgSize": "15.17" } }
GET /api/learn/patterns Discovered market patterns
curl https://rpoly.vercel.app/api/learn/patterns
{ "totalSnapshots": 4200, "totalMarkets": 350, "uniqueDays": 3, "oddsBuckets": { ... }, "lastUpdated": 1771287205054 }
Pattern analysis improves with more collected data. Rebuilds every 5 minutes.